Tuesday, August 17, 2010

Tuesday Tip

Here's hoping for better luck today, pretty average day for a bet to be honest but came up with one

12.10pm

Oakland v Toronto
$100 under 7 runs @ $1.94

Picked this out prior to markets being set and was hoping for the line to be set at 8 but 7 still isn't too bad given the match ups. The good thing about baseball is that there is always a statistic to throw out and these are the ones that make me confident

Total Runs - past 10 games
Oakland - 4,1,6,3,1,0,5,3,0,2 (25) average of 2.5
Toronto - 1,2,17,1,5,1,6,3,2,4 (42) average of 4.2 but does include a 17, ignoring that they have a 2.7 average in the other 9 games

Oakland are shocking in night games and Toronto really struggle with left handed pitching and both scenarios appear here.

Oakland 29-47 at night (28-12 in day games)
Toronto 9-15 v left handed pitchers (.216 v lefties, .259 v righties)

Toronto were red hot batting wise prior to the all star break but have cooled right off since and their stats prior to June compared to after are chalk and cheese.

Pretty confident the starters will keep things tight until it becomes time for the pens to strut their stuff. Can see the score being like 3-0 or 3-1 after 7 innings and would like my chances from there

2 comments:

  1. Well my prediction thru 7 innings was correct with the score being 3-1 after 7 so hope my confidence in the bullpens is vindicated

    ReplyDelete